The old TD 2 had strengthened and was forecast to pass right over Antigua and Barbuda as a Tropical Storm on Monday!!!! This wasn't expected, and at this hour most people on the island are unaware of this.
Here is the National Hurricane Center 11 am forecast:
WTNT32 KNHC 151432
TROPICAL STORM ANA
ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009
QUICKLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
INTERESTS IN THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3
WEST OR ABOUT
920 MILES...1480 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS MOTION COULD
BRING THE CENTER OF ANA NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES
AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
You can see the forecast track here showing times and intensity forecasts here in this image:
Another good tracking map for Ana is this one.
Some good sites to go to are http://www.weathercarib.com/ http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ and
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ and of course you can see local reports on http://www.stormcarib.com/
For now the weather couldnt be better and i have seen many people going out here in jolly harbour today on their boats. I will post more on the stormcarib site later today.